Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential scheduling conflicts with other commitments
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:15:27 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
-0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Entertainment Event Performances
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -90.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
22 points
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors Shakira performing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, with a 98.55% probability. This reflects her established reputation as a global superstar and frequent collaborator with major sporting events.
Shakira has a long history of high-profile performances at major sporting events, including the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa and the 2015 UEFA Champions League Final. Her global appeal and prior collaborations with Global Citizen (the halftime show producer) increase the likelihood of her inclusion.
Logistical challenges such as scheduling conflicts, contract negotiations, or last-minute changes could prevent her participation. Additionally, if the event is postponed or canceled beyond the resolution deadline, the market would resolve to 'No'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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