Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen injuries pre-tournament
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:02:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,666,180
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests an even 50% chance for Sara Bejlek to reach the quarterfinals at Wimbledon 2026, reflecting uncertainty given her current ranking and competitive landscape.
Bejlek, aged 18 with rising form and a wildcard entry, could leverage grass-court adaptability and youthful energy to upset higher-ranked opponents, capitalizing on potential upsets in early rounds.
Her lack of Grand Slam experience and lower ranking (outside top 100) may hinder progression, especially against seeded players or in high-pressure knockout stages where consistency is critical.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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