Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Swift's preference for a private wedding with a small guest list
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:30:14 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
79%
ORYN Consensus
79%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,296
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 76-82
—
Resolution
185d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market strongly favors Sabrina Carpenter attending Taylor Swift's wedding, with a 78.50% probability. This reflects her close personal relationship with Swift and the likelihood of an invitation given their public interactions and collaborations.
Sabrina Carpenter is a long-time friend and frequent collaborator of Taylor Swift, making her attendance highly plausible. Their shared social circles and public support for each other increase the odds of her being present at the wedding.
High-profile weddings often have limited guest lists, and Carpenter may not be invited due to Swift's preference for a smaller, more intimate ceremony. Past instances of Swift excluding certain friends from major events could reduce the likelihood of her attendance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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