Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential cancellation or postponement of EWC 2026 beyond resolution deadline
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:01:36 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,158,662
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the listed hero picked the most times during EWC Dota 2026, originally scheduled for July 7-July 19, 2026. Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this markets, including forfeits in games that start. In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically. If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of EWC Dota 2 is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects uncertainty around Riki's dominance as the most picked hero at Dota EWC 2026, with a 50% probability indicating a balanced outlook between bullish and bearish scenarios.
Riki's high pick rate could surge if meta shifts favor invisibility-based heroes, or if teams prioritize his utility in late-game teamfights. His recent buffs or meta adaptations may also drive adoption.
Riki's pick rate may decline if teams counter him with detection-heavy drafts or if his playstyle becomes less viable against dominant strategies. Nerfs or meta shifts away from invisibility could reduce his prevalence.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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