Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable grass-court performance
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:00:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,118,368
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects moderate skepticism about Polina Kudermetova's advancement to the Wimbledon 2026 quarterfinals, with a 46.50% probability assigned. This suggests a near-even split in expectations, influenced by her current form and tournament unpredictability.
Kudermetova's aggressive baseline game and improving clay-court adaptability could translate to grass courts, where her serve and net play may gain an edge. A favorable draw path (avoiding top seeds early) and potential fatigue among higher-ranked opponents could increase her chances.
Her ranking (outside top 50) and lack of grass-court experience pose significant hurdles, with only 2 WTA grass titles in her career. Injuries or inconsistent form in 2026 could further diminish her prospects against elite opponents.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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