Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Overestimation of current draft position
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:45:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.8
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 85.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd overall pick in the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NHL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The probability of Oscar Hemming being drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft is extremely low at 0.85%. This reflects his current standing as a mid-tier prospect with limited top-tier projections.
Hemming could rise into the top 3 if he has a breakout season in 2025-26, significantly outperforming expectations and gaining elite prospect hype from scouts and analysts, or if multiple top teams target him due to positional scarcity.
Hemming is currently ranked outside the top 10 for the 2026 draft, and his trajectory suggests he is more likely to be drafted in the mid-first round or later. Injuries, underperformance, or team preferences could further reduce his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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