This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Key risk: Earnings miss or guidance downgrade
AI updated 6/26/2026, 10:16:03 PM
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing at $190-$195 during the week of Jun 29–Jul 3 shows a 50% probability, indicating balanced uncertainty. The range is narrow relative to NVDA's historical volatility, suggesting high sensitivity to near-term catalysts.
NVIDIA could close within $190-$195 if strong AI-related demand persists, driven by sustained demand for GPUs in data centers and gaming. Positive earnings guidance or analyst upgrades may fuel momentum. Seasonal trends in July could also support upward price pressure.
A pullback below $190 is plausible if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data, Fed policy shifts) dampen tech sentiment. Supply chain disruptions or weaker-than-expected earnings could trigger profit-taking. Geopolitical risks (e.g., US-China tensions) may also weigh on the stock.
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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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