Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential for draft format changes or cancellation by NHL
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:45:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd overall pick in the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NHL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nikita Klepov being drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 0.95%. The bull case is almost nonexistent given his draft eligibility timeline and projected draft position.
Klepov could be drafted in the top 3 if he experiences a meteoric rise in performance, surpassing all current projections due to exceptional skill development or injuries to higher-ranked prospects. A dominant international tournament performance (e.g., World Juniors) could also catapult his draft stock.
Klepov is overwhelmingly likely to be drafted outside the top 3 due to his current draft-eligible class being strong in top-end talent, his projected mid-to-late first-round standing, and the historical rarity of top-3 picks for players of his profile. No top-3 pick has occurred in the last 5 NHL Drafts for a player not already ranked in the top tier by scouting agencies.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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