This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key risk: Yamal's inexperience in elite tournaments
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:00:20 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
11%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
2.6
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Lamine Yamal is a rising star in Spanish football with significant potential to be a key playmaker at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but his probability of leading in assists is currently low at 11.00%. His youth and inexperience at the international tournament level may limit his impact compared to established veterans.
Yamal's exceptional dribbling, vision, and creativity could elevate his assist numbers if Spain's offensive system leverages his strengths. A deep tournament run with high possession and attacking play would increase his chances. If he becomes a starter early, his assist potential rises significantly.
Yamal's lack of experience in high-pressure World Cup scenarios may lead to fewer assist opportunities. Spain's midfield depth, including established players like Pedri or Gavi, could limit his playing time. Injuries or tactical mismatches could further reduce his impact.
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Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 7.5% while ORYN AI estimates 11%.
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