Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Yamal's inexperience in elite tournaments
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:00:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
11%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
2.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 350.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
6 points
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Lamine Yamal is a rising star in Spanish football with significant potential to be a key playmaker at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but his probability of leading in assists is currently low at 11.00%. His youth and inexperience at the international tournament level may limit his impact compared to established veterans.
Yamal's exceptional dribbling, vision, and creativity could elevate his assist numbers if Spain's offensive system leverages his strengths. A deep tournament run with high possession and attacking play would increase his chances. If he becomes a starter early, his assist potential rises significantly.
Yamal's lack of experience in high-pressure World Cup scenarios may lead to fewer assist opportunities. Spain's midfield depth, including established players like Pedri or Gavi, could limit his playing time. Injuries or tactical mismatches could further reduce his impact.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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