Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Uncertainty in meta shifts before 2026
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:01:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,158,282
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the listed hero picked the most times during EWC Dota 2026, originally scheduled for July 7-July 19, 2026. Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this markets, including forfeits in games that start. In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically. If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of EWC Dota 2 is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market shows a neutral probability (50%) for Kunkka being the most picked hero at Dota EWC 2026. Historical trends and hero viability will heavily influence the outcome, with no clear dominant favorite at this stage.
Kunkka's versatility in both pub and pro play, strong laning presence, and consistent meta relevance could drive high pick rates. His utility in teamfights and ability to secure kills with Tidebringer may appeal to aggressive drafts, especially if the meta favors heroes with strong early-game dominance.
Kunkka's reliance on positioning and coordination could limit his pick rate if the meta shifts toward heroes with simpler kits or lower skill floors. Additionally, his ban rate in pro play may suppress his selection if teams prioritize banning high-impact heroes like Invoker or Morphling.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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