Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or decline in Oubre's performance
Calibrated 100% · raw 300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:31:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
43%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+3.0
Opportunity
2.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 300.0¢
Entry: 40-46
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr. has a 46% chance of playing for the Utah Jazz in the 2026-27 season, indicating moderate uncertainty about his future team affiliation. The market reflects a balanced outlook with no overwhelming consensus on his next destination.
Oubre could re-sign with Utah if the Jazz prioritize his veteran presence and three-and-d defense, especially if they remain competitive in the Western Conference. A strong 2025-26 season could also elevate his trade value, making a return to Utah a viable option for both parties.
Oubre may leave Utah due to limited minutes, reduced role, or a desire for a fresh start elsewhere, particularly if the Jazz rebuild around younger players. Free agency in 2026 could see him pursue a higher-paying contract with a contending team, reducing his likelihood of staying.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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