Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or performance decline reducing Oubre's market value
Calibrated 100% · raw 1900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:31:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
25%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
+19.0
Opportunity
14.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1900.0¢
Entry: 22-28
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s 2026-27 team affiliation is uncertain with a 44% probability assigned to the Oklahoma City Thunder. His free agency status, team needs, and contract demands will heavily influence the outcome.
Oubre could sign with the Thunder as a veteran presence to mentor young wings like Chet Holmgren or Jalen Williams, aligning with OKC's rebuilding timeline. His three-and-D skills and playoff experience make him a strong fit for a contending team.
Oubre may remain unsigned or join a different team due to financial constraints or lack of fit. The Thunder's roster construction (e.g., emerging young wings) might reduce their need for his services, pushing him elsewhere.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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