Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential decline in Oubre Jr.'s on-court production or health
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:31:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
43%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 40-46
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s future with the New Orleans Pelicans in the 2026-27 season is uncertain, with a market probability of 44.00% indicating a near-even split between joining the Pelicans or another team. His contract status and potential free agency in 2026 will heavily influence the outcome.
Oubre Jr. re-signs with the Pelicans due to strong on-court performance, team chemistry, and long-term roster planning under a new coaching staff. The Pelicans may prioritize retaining him as a veteran leader for a young core, offering a multi-year deal with favorable financial terms.
Oubre Jr. leaves the Pelicans via free agency or trade due to limited playing time, contract disputes, or the Pelicans' focus on younger players. A rebuild or cap constraints could push the team to move on from him, leading to a sign-and-trade or unrestricted free agency.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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