Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Oubre's injury history and durability concerns
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:30:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
45%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 42-48
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s likelihood of playing for the Houston Rockets in the 2026-27 season is slightly below a coin flip at 46%. The market reflects uncertainty due to Oubre's career trajectory, team needs, and potential free agency dynamics.
Oubre could re-sign with Houston if the Rockets prioritize veteran scoring and flexibility in their rebuild. His fit with the team's culture and prior tenure (2015-2018) may make him a target. A strong 2025-26 season could also boost his market value.
Oubre may seek a fresh start elsewhere due to Houston's young core development or salary cap constraints. Injuries or declining performance could reduce his appeal. A trade or release before 2026-27 would also negate this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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