Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or decline in Oubre's performance reducing his market appeal
Calibrated 100% · raw 1900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:30:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
43%
Signal Score
+19.0
Opportunity
12.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1900.0¢
Entry: 21-27
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market currently assigns a 43% probability that Kelly Oubre Jr. will play for the Detroit Pistons in the 2026-27 NBA season. This reflects moderate uncertainty about his next team destination, with several potential outcomes still plausible.
Oubre could re-sign with Detroit due to their strong roster flexibility, his familiarity with the system, and potential cap space. The Pistons may prioritize veteran leadership to complement young talent like Chet Holmgren and Jaden Ivey. A hometown-friendly deal could also incentivize his return.
Oubre may seek a fresh start elsewhere, given Detroit's competitive outlook and his desire for a long-term contract. Free agency in 2026 could attract higher offers from contenders, or he might opt for a playoff-bound team to chase a championship. Injuries or declining market value could also limit his options.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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