Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or decline in performance reducing Oubre Jr.'s market value
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:30:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
39%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,570,118
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 36-42
—
Resolution
121d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s future with the Denver Nuggets in the 2026-27 season is uncertain, with a market probability of 43.50% suggesting a near-even split in expectations. The resolution hinges on his contract status and potential team movements by October 31, 2026.
Oubre Jr. re-signs with the Nuggets due to strong chemistry with the roster, his defensive versatility, and the team's need for perimeter scoring. His expiring contract in 2025-26 may incentivize both parties to extend early, and Denver's competitive window could motivate retention.
Oubre Jr. leaves Denver for a contender or higher-paying team, given his age (29 in 2026) and the Nuggets' potential cap constraints. Injuries or declining performance could also reduce his value, prompting a move to a rebuilding franchise or retirement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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