Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictability of draft-day trades or team decisions
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:30:29 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
38%
ORYN Consensus
38%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 35-41
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 NHL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NHL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates a 38.3% probability that Keaton Verhoeff will be drafted third overall in the 2026 NHL Draft. This reflects moderate uncertainty about his draft position relative to top prospects.
Verhoeff's strong performance in junior leagues or international competitions could elevate his draft stock, making a top-three selection plausible. A dominant pre-draft season or team needs aligning with his skill set could push him into the third pick.
A surge in performance from other top prospects or underwhelming play from Verhoeff could push him out of the top three. Team-specific drafting strategies favoring other players may reduce his chances of being selected third.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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