Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Dominance of traditional football powerhouses (e.g., Brazil, Germany, France)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:45:26 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ivory Coast scoring the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is an extremely low-probability event, with a market probability of 0.45%. This reflects the competitive nature of international football and the dominance of traditional powerhouses in goal-scoring metrics.
The Ivory Coast could emerge as the top goal-scoring nation if they assemble a high-octane attacking squad, benefit from favorable group-stage matchups, and advance deep into the tournament where goal-scoring opportunities multiply. A strong run in the knockout stages could propel them to the top of the leaderboard.
The Ivory Coast faces formidable competition from established football nations with historically higher goal-scoring records, including both traditional powerhouses and emerging teams. Structural challenges such as defensive vulnerabilities or inconsistent form could further diminish their chances of leading in goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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