Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or fatigue affecting form
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:00:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
79%
ORYN Consensus
79%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,858,093
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 76-82
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the WTA and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Iga Świątek has a 78.5% probability of advancing to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon 2026, indicating strong market confidence in her performance. Historical dominance on grass courts and consistent WTA top-tier rankings support this outlook.
Świątek’s proven adaptability to grass courts (2023 Wimbledon champion) and her current form (consistent top-5 rankings) make her a strong favorite. A favorable draw and recent injury-free status further bolster her chances of reaching the Round of 16.
Injury risks, potential upsets from rising stars, or a tough early draw could derail Świątek’s path. Grass court performances in 2024-2025 may show inconsistency, reducing confidence in her advancement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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