Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late-week viewership surge by competitors
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:16:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,936
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market shows a 50% probability that 'I Will Find You' will rank as the #1 US Netflix show for the week ending June 29, 2026. This reflects moderate uncertainty given the show's potential but lack of confirmed dominance in recent viewership data.
The show has gained significant traction due to a viral marketing campaign, strong word-of-mouth reviews, and strategic Netflix promotion, positioning it to surpass competitors like 'Stranger Things' or 'The Crown' in weekly rankings.
Competition from established franchises or new releases, alongside potential algorithmic shifts by Netflix, could relegate 'I Will Find You' to a lower rank, failing to secure the top spot despite initial hype.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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