Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Event cancellation or postponement beyond the resolution deadline
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:15:56 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 30.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
19d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The probability of Eminem performing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show is currently low at 2.70%, reflecting minimal market confidence in this outcome.
Eminem, a globally recognized artist with crossover appeal, could be invited to perform to boost halftime show ratings and align with FIFA's push for cultural diversity. His past performances at major events (e.g., Super Bowl LVI) demonstrate his willingness to participate in high-profile engagements.
Eminem's schedule may conflict with the event, or FIFA could prioritize other artists (e.g., Latin or global pop stars) to reflect the 2026 host region's cultural diversity. Past halftime shows have featured trend-driven performers, not legacy acts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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