Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Historical underperformance in World Cup goal-scoring
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:30:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,351,983
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
34d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The probability of Egypt scoring the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is extremely low at 0.25%, indicating near-consensus skepticism about their offensive performance relative to other teams. Historical World Cup data and current FIFA rankings suggest Egypt faces significant competition from higher-ranked attacking teams.
Egypt could score the most goals if they field a high-scoring squad with standout forwards like Mohamed Salah in peak form, combined with a favorable group-stage draw and tactical adaptability. A strong group-stage performance with dominant victories could propel them into deeper tournament rounds where goal-scoring opportunities increase.
Egypt's historical World Cup performance shows limited goal-scoring success, with a single goal in their last two appearances (2018, 2022). Competing against traditional powerhouses and teams with stronger attacking records makes it unlikely they will lead in total goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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