Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential cancellation/postponement of the 2026 World Cup
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:00:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,218,028
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
35d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Croatia scoring the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows negligible probability (0.25%), indicating an extremely low expectation that Croatia will lead in goal scoring. This is likely due to Croatia's past performances and the competitive nature of the tournament.
Croatia could exceed expectations by leveraging its strong midfield (e.g., Modrić's experience) and tactical depth to outscore opponents in high-scoring matches, especially in group stages where weaker teams may be targeted. A favorable draw or knockout-stage opponent mismatches could also boost their goal tally.
Croatia's aging squad may struggle with fatigue or injuries, reducing their offensive output, while defensive vulnerabilities could lead to fewer goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally, stronger attacking teams (e.g., France, Brazil) are more likely to dominate goal-scoring metrics.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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