Key risk: Time's historical preference for human awardees
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:51:14 AM
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
-0.0
Opportunity
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Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market assigns a 0.06% probability to ChatGPT being named Time's 2023 Person of the Year, indicating extremely low market confidence in this outcome. Historical precedent and editorial trends suggest a preference for human figures over AI in this category.
ChatGPT could be selected if Time's editorial team prioritizes technological breakthroughs or AI's societal impact in 2023, particularly if its influence on global discourse, policy, or culture is deemed unparalleled. A late-year surge in public or corporate adoption might sway the decision.
Time has historically favored human figures (e.g., Volodymyr Zelensky in 2022), and AI lacks the agency or narrative depth typically required for the award. The market's near-zero probability reflects skepticism about editorial alignment with an AI recipient.
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Will ChatGPT be Time's 2023 Person of the Year? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from manifold. Current market-implied probability is 0.1% while ORYN AI estimates 0.1%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
