Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Meta shifts favoring non-split-push heroes
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:01:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,158,662
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the listed hero picked the most times during EWC Dota 2026, originally scheduled for July 7-July 19, 2026. Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this markets, including forfeits in games that start. In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically. If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of EWC Dota 2 is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Broodmother has a 50% chance of being the most picked hero at Dota EWC 2026, reflecting balanced market sentiment but hinging heavily on meta shifts and tournament dynamics. The resolution depends on official pick rates, win percentages, and ban rates as tiebreakers.
Broodmother could dominate picks if her recent buffs (e.g., improved web scaling) and counter-initiation role align with EWC 2026's meta, where mid-game split-push strategies gain prominence. High win rates in pro play (e.g., 55%+ in TI15) and strong ban rates (top 10%) could drive her selection. If teams prioritize late-game scaling, her flexibility as a core or support makes her a high-value pick.
Broodmother's pick rate may decline if the meta favors heroes with stronger teamfight presence (e.g., carries like Medusa or position 4 supports like Tiny) or if her recent nerfs reduce her viability. Low ban rates or a meta shift toward early-game dominance (e.g., Chen or Io) could marginalize her. Poor win rates in early EWC games (below 50%) would deter teams from picking her.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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