Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Emergence of strong South American rivals
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:04:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
85%
ORYN Consensus
85%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg officially announce they're having a fight by January 2024?
correlates · strength 60%
Will @firstuserhere walk 100,000 steps in a day, before 2023 ends?
correlates · strength 60%
Will 2023 be the hottest year on record?
correlates · strength 60%
Will Destiny talk to Jordan Peterson during 2024?
correlates · strength 60%
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 82-88
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
25 points
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Argentina has an 84.5% probability of reaching the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, indicating strong market confidence in their qualification. This is based on their recent performance, historical success, and favorable group stage projections.
Argentina's strong squad depth, led by emerging talents and experienced players, positions them well for a deep tournament run. Their recent Copa América success and consistent top-tier FIFA rankings reinforce their favoritism. A relatively manageable group stage could further boost their chances.
Argentina faces potential challenges from rising South American teams like Brazil or Colombia, which could overshadow their squad. Internal team dynamics, injuries, or tactical mismatches in high-pressure matches may hinder their progression. A tough group stage draw could derail their Round of 16 hopes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
