Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Early elimination in African qualifiers
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:30:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,563,857
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
20d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Algeria has a very low probability (1.55%) of reaching the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, given their historical performance in World Cup tournaments and the competitive nature of African football in the qualifiers. The market reflects skepticism about Algeria's ability to overcome strong regional and global competition.
Algeria could reach the 2026 World Cup final if they significantly improve their squad depth, tactical sophistication, and consistency in high-pressure matches, while benefiting from favorable draws in both the qualifiers and knockout stages. A strong performance in the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations could boost their confidence and momentum.
Algeria's path to the 2026 World Cup final is hindered by intense competition in African qualifiers, particularly from established teams like Morocco, Senegal, and Egypt. Historical underperformance in major tournaments and lack of elite-level experience in knockout stages further diminish their chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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