Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or roster changes before the tournament
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:30:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,425,316
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 EWC Valorant tournament, currently scheduled for July 09 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the winner of EWC Valorant is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the EWC website (https://esportsworldcup.com/en/competitions/2026/valorant). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assigns a 4.5% probability to 100 Thieves winning the 2026 EWC Valorant Tournament. Given the competitive nature of Valorant esports, this low probability reflects the team's historical performance and the unpredictability of tournament outcomes.
100 Thieves could win if they improve their roster, adapt to meta shifts, and capitalize on bracket upsets, leveraging their strong team synergy and coaching. A favorable draw or underperformance by top rivals could also boost their chances.
100 Thieves' chances are hindered by the dominance of established teams like Sentinels, Fnatic, or Paper Rex, along with potential roster instability or injuries. The tournament's high unpredictability and reliance on peak performance further reduce their odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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