Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or fatigue impacting performance
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 1:30:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
86%
ORYN Consensus
84%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,018
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 83-89
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the WTA and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Aryna Sabalenka has an 86% probability of advancing to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon 2026, reflecting strong market confidence in her performance. This assessment assumes normal tournament conditions and no major injuries or upsets.
Sabalenka's aggressive baseline game and strong grass-court results (e.g., 2023 Wimbledon semifinalist) position her well for success. Her recent form and mental resilience under pressure further bolster her chances of reaching the Round of 16.
Injury concerns or a potential early upset by a lower-ranked opponent could derail her progress. Additionally, a sudden loss of form or unfavorable draw dynamics (e.g., facing a top seed in the second round) may reduce her odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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