Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or illness affecting either fighter before the bout
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:17:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Robert Whittaker and Nikita Krylov at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that the Whittaker vs. Krylov fight at UFC 329 will go the full distance and be decided by judges' scorecards. This suggests a balanced expectation between a decision by judges and other potential outcomes such as early stoppage or a non-scored result.
The fight goes the full 5 rounds with a clear, close decision by the judges, favoring Whittaker's tactical approach or Krylov's aggression. Whittaker's cardio and takedown defense, or Krylov's striking volume, could lead to a late-rounds finish where judges' scorecards are decisive.
The fight ends early via KO/TKO, submission, or referee stoppage due to damage or exhaustion, rendering judges' scorecards irrelevant. Alternatively, a controversial early stoppage or a non-scored result (e.g., no contest) could skew the resolution toward 'No' or '50-50'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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