This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Robert Whittaker and Nikita Krylov at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Key risk: Injury or illness affecting either fighter before the bout
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:17:38 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Robert Whittaker and Nikita Krylov at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market reflects a 50% probability that the Whittaker vs. Krylov fight at UFC 329 will go the full distance and be decided by judges' scorecards. This suggests a balanced expectation between a decision by judges and other potential outcomes such as early stoppage or a non-scored result.
The fight goes the full 5 rounds with a clear, close decision by the judges, favoring Whittaker's tactical approach or Krylov's aggression. Whittaker's cardio and takedown defense, or Krylov's striking volume, could lead to a late-rounds finish where judges' scorecards are decisive.
The fight ends early via KO/TKO, submission, or referee stoppage due to damage or exhaustion, rendering judges' scorecards irrelevant. Alternatively, a controversial early stoppage or a non-scored result (e.g., no contest) could skew the resolution toward 'No' or '50-50'.
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Fight to Go the Distance? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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