This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Key risk: Potential fight cancellation or postponement due to injuries or other issues
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:18:02 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty in the outcome of this preliminary bout. Both fighters are relatively unproven in the heavyweight division, contributing to the lack of a clear favorite.
Steveson's wrestling pedigree and Olympic background could give him an advantage in a grappling-heavy matchup, potentially leading to a decision win if he avoids early stoppage. His athleticism and cardio might outlast Ellison in a grueling fight.
Ellison's striking accuracy and power, if underestimated, could result in a quick KO or TKO, especially if Steveson struggles to take him down. Steveson's inexperience in the heavyweight division could be exploited by a more seasoned fighter like Ellison.
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UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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