Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Persistent high mortgage rates reducing housing affordability
Calibrated 100% · raw 2235% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:45:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
59%
ORYN Consensus
37%
Signal Score
-22.4
Opportunity
19.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,423,446
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2235.0¢
Entry: 56-62
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Opendoor (OPEN) finishing the week of June 29 above $5.00 shows a 36.6% probability, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors include recent stock performance, sector trends, and macroeconomic conditions affecting iBuyer models.
OPEN could exceed $5.00 if macroeconomic tailwinds (lower mortgage rates, housing demand recovery) align with strong execution in its core markets. Potential upside catalysts include cost reductions, improved margins, or a broader tech/real estate sector rebound.
OPEN may fail to reach $5.00 if housing market headwinds persist (high mortgage rates, inventory glut) or operational challenges (liquidity constraints, losses in key markets) worsen. Sector-wide iBuyer consolidation risks also weigh on sentiment.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.