Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_risks
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:18:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: Financial markets (US Fed, WeWork, Fed’s lower bound) and international sports (Algeria vs Austria, Colombia vs Portugal) have no direct correlation with a specific MLB game (Nationals vs Red Sox) outcome
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: The outcome of a single baseball game is independent of macroeconomic events and other sports matches
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,634
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
22h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 29 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game goes to extra innings. This market will resolve to "No" if the game is completed without going to extra innings. For the purposes of this market, a game goes to extra innings if play begins in any inning after the scheduled regulation innings for that game, such as the 10th inning in a standard 9-inning MLB game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game ends in a tie before extra innings are played, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for extra innings in the Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox game is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability for either outcome. The neutral starting point suggests no clear market consensus on game duration.
The Nationals and Red Sox have historically high-scoring lineups, increasing the likelihood of a tied game after 9 innings. Poor bullpen performance or late-game defensive errors could prolong the game into extra innings.
Both teams have strong bullpens, reducing the chance of late-game collapses. Low-scoring games or early decisive leads may lead to a swift conclusion before extra innings are needed.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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