In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: unexpected_injuries_to_key_players
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:19:01 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) is evenly split, indicating no clear favorite in the outcome of the Cleveland Guardians leading by 2+ runs after the 5th inning against the Seattle Mariners. The neutral probability suggests balanced expectations between the two teams.
The Cleveland Guardians may benefit from strong offensive or pitching performance in the early innings, particularly if their lineup performs well against Seattle Mariners' pitching or if their bullpen holds a lead. Historical data or recent form favoring Cleveland's early-game dominance could support this outcome.
The Seattle Mariners could counter by maintaining a close or leading position through the 5th inning, especially if their starting pitching performs exceptionally or Cleveland's offense struggles early. A tied or losing position for Cleveland would resolve this market in favor of Seattle.
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1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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