In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Steven Kwan records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Steven Kwan records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Key risk: Weather volatility affecting ball carry
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:17:29 PM
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Steven Kwan records more than 1.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Steven Kwan records less than 1.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Steven Kwan's home run over/under market for the June 26 game is at 50%, indicating an even split in probability between over and under 1.5 home runs. The neutral pricing reflects Kwan's inconsistent power output and the game's low-scoring context.
Kwan has demonstrated occasional power spikes in recent games, including a 2-HR performance on June 22. The Mariners' lineup may create more run-scoring opportunities against a Guardians pitching staff with middling ERA metrics.
Kwan averages just 0.5 HR per game this season and has failed to reach 1.5 HR in 9 of his last 10 appearances. The Guardians' pitching staff ranks in the top 10 for strikeout rate, reducing Kwan's power potential.
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Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 1.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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