Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game_cancellation
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:48:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,967,728
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both Valerion and ALMO Players. Executions (deaths to non-champion sources such as turrets, minions, or neutral monsters where no enemy champion receives kill credit) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market. If no kills are recorded in Game 1, or if Game 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Odd/Even Total Kills in Game 1' is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting no clear bias toward odd or even outcomes. The resolution hinges on the parity of total kills, with a 50-50 fallback if the game is canceled, delayed, or not played under specified conditions.
A bullish outlook suggests odd kills are more likely due to typical high-mobility gameplay favoring even-numbered engagements. Historical data from similar matches may show a slight odd bias, or team strategies could favor aggressive plays leading to odd totals.
A bearish outlook argues even kills are more probable, as balanced team compositions often result in symmetric engagements. Low-skill or defensive playstyles may reduce total kills, increasing the chance of an even number. Statistical parity in similar matches also supports this case.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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