Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay (due to technical issues, player availability, or external factors)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:30:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,308,259
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
3h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Grand final match between T1 and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1' of the T1 vs. Team Liquid Mid-Season Invitational Play-In Grand Final is evenly split, with a 50% probability assigned. The neutral outlook reflects high uncertainty due to the early stage of the event and potential match disruptions.
A bullish scenario for 'Over 27.5' would require high-intensity gameplay, aggressive strategies, and extended team fights, typical of high-level League of Legends matches. If T1 and Team Liquid engage in prolonged skirmishes or objective-based fights, the total kills could exceed 27.5, especially if one team dominates early.
A bearish scenario favors 'Under 27.5' if the match features a dominant early lead, rapid snowballing, or strategic picks that minimize team fights. Early objective control or a defensive playstyle could suppress total kills, particularly if the game concludes in under 30 minutes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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