Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation/delay (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:16:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 46 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for total kills in Game 2 of the T1 vs. Karmine Corp Upper bracket final is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited historical precedent and match-specific factors.
A bullish outcome (46+ kills) is plausible if both teams play aggressively with high kill-focused strategies, leveraging their strong laning phases and late-game teamfighting tendencies. Karmine Corp's historical high-kill games against top-tier teams (e.g., 48 kills vs. JDG in 2023 MSI) suggest potential for an over.
A bearish outcome (≤45 kills) could occur if the match devolves into a slow, objective-focused game where teams prioritize Baron/Herald control over kills, or if early game dominance leads to one-sided play. T1's tendency for controlled, low-kill victories (e.g., 2023 Worlds finals) supports this scenario.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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