Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation/delay (e.g., technical issues, player availability)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 10:16:13 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,919,835
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 3. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 3 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for total kills in Game 3 of the Lower bracket final between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to match volatility, team dynamics, and potential delays or cancellations. The binary outcome hinges on mid-game aggression, objective control, and player performance under pressure.
A bullish outcome (28+ kills) could materialize if both teams engage in high-risk, high-reward strategies, such as prioritizing early Dragon/Baron fights or aggressive jungling, leading to prolonged teamfights and extended skirmishes. Karmine Corp’s historical tendency for high-paced games and Team Liquid’s occasional early-game dominance (e.g., against top-tier teams) may amplify kill counts.
A bearish outcome (under 28 kills) is plausible if the match devolves into a slow, objective-focused game with minimal teamfighting, such as a siege-heavy strategy (e.g., Baron pressure) or if one team secures a dominant early lead, reducing late-game chaos. Technical issues, player fatigue, or strategic fatigue (e.g., repeated failed attempts) could also suppress kill totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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