Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:03:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,424,991
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 11:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 3. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 3 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for total kills in Game 3 of the Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales is evenly split at 50% Over/Under 30.5. The neutral probability reflects high uncertainty due to limited historical data on this specific matchup and the volatility of esports kill totals.
A bullish outcome (Over 30.5 kills) could materialize if both teams adopt aggressive early-game strategies, leading to frequent skirmishes and objective control fights. High-pressure meta shifts favoring lane dominance or jungle pressure may also increase kill rates, especially if the game extends beyond 35 minutes.
A bearish outcome (Under 30.5 kills) is plausible if the match features a slow-starting draft with defensive compositions or if one team secures an early lead and maintains it through macro play, reducing opportunities for kills. External factors like technical issues or player fatigue could also suppress kill totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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