Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:03:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,424,991
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 11:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 34 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1 of the Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited pre-match data and the volatile nature of competitive esports outcomes.
A bullish outcome (Over 33.5 kills) could materialize if both teams engage in aggressive early-game strategies, such as early tower dives or coordinated skirmishes, which are common in high-stakes playoff matches. Historical data from similar matches suggests that Team Secret Whales, known for their aggressive playstyle, may push for high kill counts, especially if Hanwha Life Esports responds in kind.
A bearish outcome (Under 33.5 kills) is plausible if the match features a slower, more strategic pace, such as prolonged laning phases or objective-focused play (e.g., Baron or Dragon fights), which typically result in fewer kills. Hanwha Life Esports' tendency to play around objectives could suppress total kills, particularly if Team Secret Whales adapts defensively.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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