Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:04:07 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,424,241
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between G2 Esports and Top Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for total kills in G2 Esports vs. Top Esports Game 2 of their Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 at MSI 2024 is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting high uncertainty due to volatile match dynamics. The lack of clear historical trends or team-specific kill rates for this matchup further contributes to the neutral probability.
G2 Esports could dominate early-game objectives (e.g., Baron/Dragon) and engage in prolonged skirmishes, pushing total kills over 27.5. Top Esports’ aggressive playstyle in recent tournaments may also lead to extended fights, increasing kill counts. A high-skill draft with champions favoring extended teamfights (e.g., Aatrox, Jax) could amplify the likelihood of a high-kill game.
Either team may prioritize objective control over kills, leading to a low-kill game with early surrender or one-sided dominance. Top Esports’ tendency to secure wins through split-push or pick compositions could suppress total kills. Technical issues or early game crashes (common in high-stakes matches) may truncate the game, reducing kill counts below 27.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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