Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 7/1/2026, 10:15:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,346,438
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Petar Jovanovic and Tadija Radovanovic in the ITF Skopje, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:45AM ET. This market will resolve to “Jovanovic” if Petar Jovanovic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Radovanovic” if Tadija Radovanovic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors Petar Jovanovic as the winner of the first set against Tadija Radovanovic in their ITF Skopje match, with a 99.95% probability. This near-certainty suggests significant confidence in Jovanovic's performance or perceived skill advantage.
Petar Jovanovic is likely favored due to superior recent form, head-to-head dominance, or higher ATP ranking, making him the stronger candidate to win the first set. External factors like home advantage (if applicable) or Radovanovic's injury concerns could further tilt odds in Jovanovic's favor.
The extreme market probability may reflect an overconfidence bias or lack of liquidity, as such a high certainty is statistically unusual in sports prediction markets. Alternatively, Radovanovic could be underestimated due to unpublicized strengths or Jovanovic's potential underperformance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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