Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable_portuguese_summer_weather
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:15:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Havlickova and Maria Garcia in the ITF Women Elvas, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the ITF Women Elvas match between Lucie Havlickova and Maria Garcia is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty about match completion due to potential weather, injury, or administrative delays.
The match completes as scheduled on July 1, 2026, with no disruptions. Both players are in peak form, and the event organizers have no prior history of cancellations or delays, supporting a smooth resolution.
The match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in a forfeit/retirement. Unreliable weather forecasts for Elvas (Portugal) in early July or a last-minute injury to either player could disrupt normal play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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