Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:30:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,307,949
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximillian Figl and Leyton Rivera in the ITF Store, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Figl” if Maximillian Figl wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rivera” if Leyton Rivera wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors Maximillian Figl as the winner of the first set against Leyton Rivera, with a probability of 99.95%. The resolution hinges on the first set's outcome, with minimal uncertainty given the near-certainty implied by the odds.
Maximillian Figl is an overwhelming favorite due to superior recent form, higher ATP ranking, or home-court advantage (ITF Store location). His dominance in head-to-head records or surface suitability (e.g., clay courts) further supports the high probability.
Leyton Rivera could pull off an upset if Figl faces unexpected injuries, fatigue from prior matches, or psychological pressure. External factors like weather conditions or officiating decisions might also skew results against the favorite.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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