Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 9990% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:30:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+99.9
Opportunity
99.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,347,128
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9990.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Dell'edera and Nada Fouad in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Dell'edera” if Francesca Dell'edera wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fouad” if Nada Fouad wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the ITF Monastir tennis match between Francesca Dell'edera and Nada Fouad is highly skewed toward Dell'edera, with a 99.95% probability. The extreme imbalance suggests near-certainty of Dell'edera winning the first set.
Francesca Dell'edera is favored due to strong recent form, higher ITF ranking, and potential home-court advantage in Monastir. Her aggressive baseline play and clay-court proficiency could overwhelm Nada Fouad's defensive style, leading to a dominant first-set victory.
Nada Fouad could pull off an upset if Dell'edera underperforms or encounters unexpected fatigue. Fouad's experience in lower-tier ITF events or potential weather disruptions (e.g., heat delays) might swing momentum in her favor, though this scenario is statistically unlikely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
No comments yet.