This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Key risk: Potential revisions to finalized temperature data post-resolution
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:48:11 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for a 27°C high temperature in Zhengzhou on May 21, 2026, is balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to seasonal variability and limited historical precision. Resolution hinges on finalized meteorological data from Wunderground, with no early resolution possible.
A bullish outcome (27°C) is supported by potential early-season warming trends or localized heat island effects in Zhengzhou, especially if regional weather patterns favor above-average temperatures. Historical data shows occasional spikes in late May, though rare.
A bearish outcome (not 27°C) is plausible given Zhengzhou's typical May climate, where highs often range between 22-26°C. Unseasonable cold fronts or cloud cover could suppress temperatures below the threshold, aligning with historical averages.
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Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on May 21? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
