In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mikel Oyarzabal records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Mikel Oyarzabal records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Mikel Oyarzabal in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Mikel Oyarzabal is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Oyarzabal
AI updated 6/26/2026, 6:17:02 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mikel Oyarzabal records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Mikel Oyarzabal records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Mikel Oyarzabal in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Mikel Oyarzabal is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Mikel Oyarzabal recording 4+ shots in the Uruguay vs. Spain FIFA World Cup match is evenly balanced at 50%, indicating high uncertainty. Performance hinges on Oyarzabal's role in Spain's attacking play and Uruguay's defensive structure.
Oyarzabal could exceed 4 shots if Spain dominates possession, creating high-quality attacking opportunities through wide channels or counterattacks. Uruguay's recent defensive lapses against high-pressure teams may force Oyarzabal into frequent shooting positions.
A disciplined Uruguay defense could limit Oyarzabal's shots, especially if Spain struggles to break through compact lines. Tactical substitutions or tactical shifts (e.g., deeper positioning) may reduce his direct involvement in shooting opportunities.
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Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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