Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Olmo from the starting lineup
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:00:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Inverse correlation with 'Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?'
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
No direct correlation with 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?', 'Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024?', 'Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score', 'Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy)'
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dani Olmo records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Dani Olmo scoring 1+ goals in the Uruguay vs. Spain FIFA World Cup match on June 26 is highly balanced at 49.50%, reflecting near-even odds. The outcome hinges on Olmo's role in Spain's attack and Uruguay's defensive structure.
Olmo has a strong chance due to Spain's possession-based style, which often creates goal-scoring opportunities for attacking midfielders. His recent form in high-stakes matches (e.g., Euro 2024) suggests he could capitalize on any defensive lapses by Uruguay.
Uruguay's disciplined defensive setup, led by experienced defenders like Ronald Araújo and José María Giménez, may neutralize Olmo's impact. Additionally, Spain's lack of a natural striker could limit his goal-scoring chances despite his creativity.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.