In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iliman Ndiaye records more than 3.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Iliman Ndiaye records 3.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Iliman Ndiaye in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Iliman Ndiaye is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Ndiaye
AI updated 6/26/2026, 4:18:15 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iliman Ndiaye records more than 3.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Iliman Ndiaye records 3.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Iliman Ndiaye in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Iliman Ndiaye is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Iliman Ndiaye recording 4+ shots on target in Senegal vs. Iraq (June 26) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced expectations. Performance variability and match dynamics are the primary uncertainties.
Ndiaye is a high-impact forward with a strong shot profile in recent matches, including multiple attempts on target. Senegal's offensive strategy may prioritize his involvement, increasing the likelihood of exceeding 3.5 shots on target.
Iraq's defensive structure could limit Ndiaye's opportunities, particularly if they prioritize compactness and counter-attacking. Fatigue or tactical adjustments may further reduce his shot volume below the threshold.
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Iliman Ndiaye: 4+ shots on target is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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